Skip to content
Blog

The seller’s rents say this duplex makes $233 a month. Today’s rents say it loses $142.

The short answer

Analyze a duplex on the rent each unit can get today, not the seller’s hoped-for rents. In this example the seller’s rents show $233 a month of cash flow, today’s rents show a $142 loss, and with one unit empty the building collects half its rent.

A duplex is two homes under one roof, and it’s a popular first investment: you can rent both units, or live in one and rent the other. You analyze it like any rental, with one difference. The income comes from a rent roll, a list of each unit and its rent, and a rent roll can mix what the units earn now with what the seller thinks they could earn.

How do you analyze a duplex?

Work through it in this order:

  1. Get the rent each unit can get today. Ask for the current leases, not only the seller’s rent roll, and note when each lease ends.
  2. Set aside what the seller expects the units could earn. That’s a plan for after you buy, not income you’re buying.
  3. Count the costs of the whole building: taxes, insurance, any utilities you pay, repairs, money for big repairs and management.
  4. Check the month with one unit empty. In a duplex, one vacancy is half the income.

The seller’s rents against today’s rents

Take a $320,000 duplex. Unit A has a lease at $1,450 a month. Unit B is empty, and similar units nearby rent for about $1,450 too. The seller’s sheet says both units will rent for $1,700 once they’re updated.

Everything else is the same in both columns: 25% down on a 30-year loan at 7%, 5% of rent set aside for empty months, and 20% of rent for repairs, big repairs and management.

The same $320,000 duplex, two rent rolls
Seller’s rentsToday’s rents
Rent for both units$3,400$2,900
Empty months (5% of rent)−$170−$145
Property taxes and insurance−$600−$600
Water, sewer and trash you pay−$120−$120
Repairs, big repairs and management (20% of rent)−$680−$580
Mortgage−$1,597−$1,597
Cash flow each month+$233−$142

On the seller’s rents, the duplex pays you $233 a month and passes the 1% rule. On the rents it can get today, it costs you $142 a month and fails it. The building didn’t change. The rent roll did.

What happens with one unit empty?

Right now only Unit A has a tenant. Until Unit B is let, the building collects $1,450 a month, not $2,900, while the mortgage, taxes and insurance stay the same. Here that’s a month well over $1,000 short.

It’s the risk a percentage hides. A 5% allowance spreads empty months across the year, but a duplex doesn’t lose 5% of its rent at a time. It loses half. You need the cash to carry a half-empty building while you find a tenant.

What should you ask the seller for?

  • The current leases, with each unit’s rent, deposit and end date.
  • Which utilities the owner pays, and whether each unit has its own meters.
  • What’s been updated and what hasn’t, if the higher rents depend on work you’d be paying for.

Should you live in one unit?

Living in one unit and renting out the other is called house hacking. Loans for owner-occupants can need a smaller down payment than investor loans, which changes the numbers above. Ask a lender what you’d qualify for, then run the duplex both ways.

Duplexes, triplexes and fourplexes can usually be bought with a residential mortgage. From five units up, lenders usually treat the building as commercial, with different loan terms.

More straight answers

  1. The 70% rule approved this flip. Three surprises cut its profit by 73%.

    The 70% rule stops you overpaying, but the 30% it leaves isn’t profit. In this worked example, $42,276 of it goes to buying, holding, loan and selling costs, and three surprises cut the $40,224 profit to $10,759.

    3 min read

  2. What occupancy does an Airbnb need to break even? This one needs 71%.

    Break-even occupancy is the share of nights that must be booked before the income covers every cost. At $300 a night, an example $350,000 Airbnb needs about 71%, roughly 258 nights a year, because Airbnb’s fee, a co-host, cleaning and the mortgage come out first.

    3 min read

  3. BRRRR example: $20,000 off the appraisal doubles the cash stuck in the house

    In a BRRRR, the appraisal decides how much of your cash comes back. In this example, a $200,000 appraisal leaves $13,600 of your cash in the house and a $180,000 one leaves $28,300, even though the lower appraisal shows better monthly cash flow.

    3 min read