How is a flip’s profit worked out?
Start with the sale price and take away everything it cost to get there.
On the sample, a $275,000 sale pays for the $150,000 purchase, a $45,000 rehab, $3,000 of closing costs, $5,400 of holding costs over six months, $12,075 in loan points and interest, and $22,000 to sell. That leaves $37,525, a 13.6% margin on the sale.
When does DealLevel say a flip works?
- This deal works when the profit is at least 10% of the sale price, enough to absorb a surprise.
- Cutting it close between 5% and 10%, where one delay or one overrun can take it all.
- This deal doesn’t work under 5%, or when it sells at a loss.
Where does the 70% rule come in?
The 70% rule says to pay no more than 70% of the finished value, minus the rehab. On the sample that caps the offer at $147,500, so the $150,000 price is $2,500 over. The calculator shows the rule, but judges the flip on the full list of costs, because the rule leaves out what your loan and your months of holding actually cost. The 70% rule, worked through.
What would make it stop working?
The sale price. The sample loses money if the house sells for under $234,212, and every extra month before it sells costs $2,338 in holding costs and interest.
Which numbers make a flip look better than it is?
- Using the best sale on the street as your finished value. How to work out a finished value.
- Planning on a rehab that finishes on time. How long a flip really takes, and what each month costs.
- Leaving out the cost of selling. Commission and closing costs come off the sale price: $22,000 on the sample.
- Leaving out the loan’s points. $3,450 on the sample, paid before any work starts.